Karvan vs Cəbrayıl: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Evlakh
The Footlab AI model makes Karvan the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Cəbrayıl. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karvan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karvan vs Cəbrayıl?
On Elo ratings, Karvan has 1,555 points and Cəbrayıl 1,458.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karvan vs Cəbrayıl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karvan
4-3-3- 11K. Spence
- 20J. Mickels
- 14U. Cahangirov
- 33E. Turabov
- 16R. Rüstəmli
- 17S. Abdullayev
- 2S. Sno
- 13V. Məsimov
- 5E. Rustamov
- 37M. Ngwisani
- 99Pedro Mateus
Cəbrayıl
4-3-3- NNurlan Quliyev
- EE. Nəsibov
- AAgabakir Hashimli
- SS. Məhərrəmli
- ZZ. Abdurahmanov
- TT. Garayev
- MMəhərrəm Orucov
- SSamir Ibrahimov
- RR. CÉfÉrli
- ZZ. Mirzəzadə
- ƏƏ. Vəliyev
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karvan have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cəbrayıl have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Səbail(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Şahdağ(away) | 0-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 24, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(home) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Şimal(away) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 21, 2026 | Şimal(home) | 2-3 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Karvan win, 1 draw, 1 Cəbrayıl win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Karvan 2-0 Cəbrayıl | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Cəbrayıl 1-1 Karvan | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Karvan 1-2 Cəbrayıl | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Karvan score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cəbrayıl score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karvan | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cəbrayıl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karvan sit 4th in Birinci Dasta (7 points from 4 matches) and Cəbrayıl sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Karvan vs Cəbrayıl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karvan vs Cəbrayıl?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karvan the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Cəbrayıl.
- Where and when is Karvan vs Cəbrayıl played?
- Karvan vs Cəbrayıl is played on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Şəhər stadionu, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.