Mingəçevir vs Şimal: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yaşar Məmmədzadə adına şəhər stadionu, Mingəçevir
The Footlab AI model makes Mingəçevir the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Şimal. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
Mingəçevir starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,521 vs 1,376).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mingəçevir vs Şimal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mingəçevir
4-3-3- 11K. Kalunga
- ÄÄ°. Æliyev
- TT. Məmədzadə
- 10Q. Alizada
- 15S. Mammadov
- 60E. Bayramov
- 16F. Bayramov
- 22E. Mustafayev
- 32R. Cafarli
- 33A. Eyubov
- 1O. Sadiqli
Şimal
Not enough data to predict the Şimal lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mingəçevir have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Şimal have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Səbail(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 28, 2026 | Qabala(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 11, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 27, 2026 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Mingəçevir wins, 0 draws, 0 Şimal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Şimal 0-3 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Şimal 0-3 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Mingəçevir 3-1 Şimal | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Mingəçevir score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Şimal score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mingəçevir | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Şimal | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mingəçevir sit 9th in Birinci Dasta (1 point from 4 matches) and Şimal sit 8th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Şimal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
A question about Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mingəçevir the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Şimal.
- Where and when is Mingəçevir vs Şimal played?
- Mingəçevir vs Şimal is played on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yaşar Məmmədzadə adına şəhər stadionu, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.