Zaqatala vs Səbail: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Zaqatala
The Footlab AI model makes Səbail the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Zaqatala. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Səbail starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,618 vs 1,424).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zaqatala vs Səbail
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zaqatala
4-3-3- AAsim Babazadə
- CCəlal Cəbrayilov
- İİ. Əliyev
- YYusif Dilanov
- DD. Mahmudov
- AA. Abazərov
- KK. Müslümov
- NN. Şixəmirov
- CC. Qurbanli
- BB. Teymurov
- II. Marcov
Səbail
4-3-3- 14S. Allouch
- 22M. Abbasov
- 10David Gomis
- 96İ. Muradov
- 11R. Abdullazadə
- 83N. Quliyev
- 16Emin Rüstəmov
- 20M. Çelik
- 4Marko Nikolić
- 3D. Lytvyn
- 12Ə. Müştəfazadə
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaqatala have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Səbail have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Şahdağ(away) | 0-6 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Karvan(away) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 22, 2026 | Safa Baku(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Mingəçevir(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 22, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Zaqatala wins, 1 draw, 5 Səbail wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Zaqatala 0-3 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Zaqatala 0-1 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Səbail 1-0 Zaqatala | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Zaqatala 1-3 Səbail | Cup |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Səbail 3-2 Zaqatala | Cup |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Zaqatala 1-1 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Zaqatala score 1.0 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Səbail score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaqatala | 1.0 | 2.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Səbail | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaqatala sit 6th in Birinci Dasta (4 points from 4 matches) and Səbail sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Səbail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaqatala vs Səbail?
- The Footlab AI model makes Səbail the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Zaqatala.
- Where and when is Zaqatala vs Səbail played?
- Zaqatala vs Səbail is played on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Şəhər stadionu, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.