Las Palmas II vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas II vs Xerez?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Las Palmas II (1,866) and Xerez (1,927).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portuense(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Xerez | 0.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Xerez | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas II vs Xerez?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Las Palmas II vs Xerez played?
- Las Palmas II vs Xerez is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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