Atlético Paso vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Paso wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Paso vs Xerez?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,871) and Xerez (1,920).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Paso vs Xerez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Paso
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Paso lineup.
Xerez
Not enough data to predict the Xerez lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Xerez have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Paso | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Xerez | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Xerez | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Atlético Paso vs Xerez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Xerez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Xerez played?
- Atlético Paso vs Xerez is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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