Match

Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella

MarbellaSevilla Atletico

The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Marbella (1,803) and Sevilla Atletico (1,765).

Marbella win55 %
Draw28 %
Sevilla Atletico win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Teruel(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Alcorcon(away)2-6Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Eldense(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Sabadell(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sevilla Atletico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Alcorcon(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Eldense(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026Gimnastic(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Algeciras(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marbella win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sevilla Atletico win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Marbella 3-0 Sevilla AtleticoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 29, 2025Sevilla Atletico 1-0 MarbellaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 29, 2025Sevilla Atletico 0-1 MarbellaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 12, 2024Marbella 4-1 Sevilla AtleticoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 14, 2024Marbella 2-0 Sevilla AtleticoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 3, 2023Sevilla Atletico 2-0 MarbellaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marbella1.51.837/157/15
Sevilla Atletico0.61.527/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico?
The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Sevilla Atletico.
Where and when is Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico played?
Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marbella and Sevilla Atletico

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