Don Benito vs Badajoz: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito
The Footlab AI model makes Don Benito the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Badajoz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Don Benito wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Don Benito vs Badajoz?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,937) and Badajoz (2,007).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Don Benito vs Badajoz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Don Benito
Not enough data to predict the Don Benito lineup.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Badajoz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Estepona(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Don Benito win, 3 draws, 2 Badajoz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Don Benito 1-1 Badajoz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Badajoz 0-1 Don Benito | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Badajoz 0-0 Don Benito | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Badajoz 0-0 Don Benito | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Don Benito 1-3 Badajoz | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Badajoz 2-0 Don Benito | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Don Benito score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Benito | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Badajoz | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Don Benito sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (13 points from 7 matches) and Badajoz sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Badajoz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Don Benito | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Don Benito vs Badajoz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Badajoz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Don Benito the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Badajoz.
- Where and when is Don Benito vs Badajoz played?
- Don Benito vs Badajoz is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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