Yarmouk vs Burgan: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Abdullah Al-Khalifa Stadium, Madīnat al-Kuwayt (Kuwait City)
The Footlab AI model makes Yarmouk the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Burgan. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Yarmouk starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,439 vs 1,279).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yarmouk vs Burgan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yarmouk
Not enough data to predict the Yarmouk lineup.
Burgan
Not enough data to predict the Burgan lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yarmouk have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Burgan have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Sahel(away) | 3-2 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Jazira(away) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Sulaibikhat(home) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Burgan(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Khaitan(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Jazira(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sporty(away) | 4-2 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Shamiya(home) | 4-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Khaitan(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yarmouk(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Yarmouk wins, 0 draws, 1 Burgan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yarmouk 3-1 Burgan | Division 1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Burgan 0-1 Yarmouk | Division 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Yarmouk 1-2 Burgan | Division 1 |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Burgan 1-3 Yarmouk | Division 1 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Yarmouk 2-1 Burgan | Division 1 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Burgan 2-3 Yarmouk | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Yarmouk score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burgan score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yarmouk | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Burgan | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Burgan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yarmouk vs Burgan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yarmouk the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Burgan.
- Where and when is Yarmouk vs Burgan played?
- Yarmouk vs Burgan is played on October 14, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC) at Abdullah Al-Khalifa Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.