Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Yate Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Yate Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,770) and Basingstoke Town (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yate Town
Not enough data to predict the Yate Town lineup.
Basingstoke Town
Not enough data to predict the Basingstoke Town lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Yate Town win, 0 draws, 1 Basingstoke Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Yate Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 4-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town on Nov 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (12 points from 11 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 14th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Basingstoke Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 12 |
| 15 | Yate Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yate Town the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Havant & WvillevsChertsey Town
- Apr 10, 2027Taunton TownvsChichester City
- Apr 10, 2027BerkhamstedvsPlymouth Parkway
- Apr 10, 2027Frome TownvsUxbridge
- Apr 10, 2027Hanwell TownvsChippenham Town
- Apr 10, 2027Gosport BoroughvsGloucester City
- Apr 10, 2027Poole TownvsMalvern Town
- Apr 10, 2027Wimborne TownvsEvesham United