Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,811) and Basingstoke Town (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Yate Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Yate Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 4-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town on Nov 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Yate Town vs Basingstoke Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Havant & WvillevsChertsey Town
- Apr 10, 2027Taunton TownvsChichester City
- Apr 10, 2027BerkhamstedvsPlymouth Parkway
- Apr 10, 2027Frome TownvsUxbridge
- Apr 10, 2027Hanwell TownvsChippenham Town
- Apr 10, 2027Gosport BoroughvsGloucester City
- Apr 10, 2027Poole TownvsMalvern Town
- Apr 10, 2027Wimborne TownvsEvesham United