Poole Town vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Malvern Town?
Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poole Town vs Malvern Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poole Town
Not enough data to predict the Poole Town lineup.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Malvern Town have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (27 points from 12 matches) and Malvern Town sit 19th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 27 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
A question about Poole Town vs Malvern Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Malvern Town played?
- Poole Town vs Malvern Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Havant & WvillevsChertsey Town
- Apr 10, 2027Taunton TownvsChichester City
- Apr 10, 2027BerkhamstedvsPlymouth Parkway
- Apr 10, 2027Frome TownvsUxbridge
- Apr 10, 2027Hanwell TownvsChippenham Town
- Apr 10, 2027Gosport BoroughvsGloucester City
- Apr 10, 2027Wimborne TownvsEvesham United
- Apr 10, 2027Yate TownvsBasingstoke Town