Where and when is Poole Town vs Yate Town played?

Poole Town vs Yate Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Poole Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset

Poole Town

Yate Town

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Poole Town vs Yate Town?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,819) and Yate Town (1,774).

Poole Town win49 %

Draw25 %

Yate Town win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Poole Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Berkhamsted(away)	3-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Basingstoke Town(home)	0-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Sholing(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Chichester City(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026	Eastleigh(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Yate Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bracknell Town(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Chippenham Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Gosport Borough(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Leamington(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Poole Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 24, 2026	Yate Town 2-2 Poole Town	Non League Premier - Southern South
Jan 17, 2026	Poole Town 2-2 Yate Town	Non League Premier - Southern South
Oct 4, 2025	Yate Town 1-2 Poole Town	FA Trophy
Feb 11, 2023	Yate Town 2-3 Poole Town	Non League Premier - Southern South
Sep 24, 2022	Poole Town 5-0 Yate Town	Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 2, 2022	Poole Town 0-2 Yate Town	Non League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Poole Town on Mar 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Poole Town	1.3	1.3	4	8/15	6/15
Yate Town	1.5	1.1	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Yate Town	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
11	Poole Town	4	2	0	2	5	6	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Yate Town?: The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Yate Town.
Where and when is Poole Town vs Yate Town played?: Poole Town vs Yate Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.