Yeclano vs Elche II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Constitución, Yecla
The Footlab model makes Yeclano the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Elche II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeclano vs Elche II?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Yeclano (1,864) and Elche II (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeclano have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Elche II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Yeclano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elche II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeclano | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Elche II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Elche II | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeclano vs Elche II?
- The Footlab model makes Yeclano the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Elche II.
- Where and when is Yeclano vs Elche II played?
- Yeclano vs Elche II is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Constitución, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.