Lorca Deportiva vs Castellonense: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Full time
What was the result of Lorca Deportiva vs Castellonense?
Lorca Deportiva won 1-0 on September 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 52′D. TalaveronLorca Deportiva
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Lorca Deportiva win at 49%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Castellonense have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Elche II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Hércules II(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 0.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorca Deportiva sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (9 points from 7 matches) and Castellonense sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Lorca Deportiva vs Castellonense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy