Match

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeni Malatyaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin

Yeni Mersin IdmanyurduYeni Malatyaspor

The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,531 vs 1,344).

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win63 %
Draw22 %
Yeni Malatyaspor win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Yeni Malatyaspor have 0, 2 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)0-62. Lig
Jan 24, 2026Bursaspor(away)0-32. Lig
Jan 17, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)1-82. Lig
Dec 22, 2025Kırklarelispor(away)1-12. Lig
Dec 17, 2025Isparta 32 Spor(home)3-52. Lig
Yeni Malatyaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Nov 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 25, 20251461 Trabzon FK(home)0-42. Lig
Oct 19, 2025Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 11, 2025Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-82. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Yeni Malatyaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3-1 Yeni Malatyaspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeni Malatyaspor on Nov 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu1.43.036/1512/15
Yeni Malatyaspor0.64.519/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where and when is Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeni Malatyaspor played?
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeni Malatyaspor is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu and Yeni Malatyaspor

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