Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kayseri Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Yan Açık Saha, Kayseri
The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Talasgücü Belediyespor (1,589) and Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Talasgücü Belediyespor have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 3-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(home) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Hakkari Zapspor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 0-3 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Talasgücü Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talasgücü Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?
- The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor.
- Where and when is Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor played?
- Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kayseri Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Yan Açık Saha, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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