Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaman FK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Karaman FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaman FK?
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,512).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Karaman FK have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaraspor(away) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karaman FK score 1.0 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Karaman FK | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaman FK?
- The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Karaman FK.
- Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaman FK played?
- Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaman FK is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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