Yeovil Town vs Boston United: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Huish Park Stadium, Yeovil, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Yeovil Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeovil Town vs Boston United?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Yeovil Town (1,752) and Boston United (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeovil Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Boston United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Yeovil Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Boston United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Boston United 2-1 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Yeovil Town 2-1 Boston United | National League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Yeovil Town 0-3 Boston United | National League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Boston United 1-3 Yeovil Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Yeovil Town on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yeovil Town score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Boston United score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeovil Town | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Boston United | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yeovil Town sit 11th in National League (5 points from 3 matches) and Boston United sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boston United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Yeovil Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeovil Town vs Boston United?
- The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Yeovil Town.
- Where and when is Yeovil Town vs Boston United played?
- Yeovil Town vs Boston United is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Huish Park Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.