York United vs Forge: result 0-1 and analysis
Canadian Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on May 5, 2023 at 11:30 PM (UTC)York Lions Stadium, Toronto, Ontario
Full time
What was the result of York United vs Forge?
Forge won 0-1 on May 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 21′T. CampbellForge
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, York United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Forge have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2023 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Vancouver FC(home) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2023 | Vancouver FC(home) | 1-0 | Canadian Championship |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Valour(home) | 0-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 2-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2023 | Pacific FC(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2023 | HFX Wanderers FC(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2023 | FC Laval(home) | 3-0 | Canadian Championship |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Cavalry FC(home) | 2-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 2-0 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 York United win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Forge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Forge 2-0 York United | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Forge 1-3 York United | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 8, 2022 | York United 0-2 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| May 6, 2022 | York United 1-0 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Forge 3-1 York United | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2021 | York United 1-3 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
York United score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York United | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Forge | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
York United sit 7th in Canadian Premier League (17 points from 15 matches) and Forge sit 1st (41 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | York United | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy