Young Star vs Never Give Up Academy: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Never Give Up Academy the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Young Star. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Star vs Never Give Up Academy?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Young Star (1,413) and Never Give Up Academy (1,501).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Young Star have 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Never Give Up Academy have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kayanza United(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ngozi City(away) | 0-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Young Star score 0.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 2; Never Give Up Academy score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Star | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
| Never Give Up Academy | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Star sit 15th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Never Give Up Academy sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Never Give Up Academy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Young Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Star vs Never Give Up Academy?
- The Footlab model makes Never Give Up Academy the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Young Star.
- Where and when is Young Star vs Never Give Up Academy played?
- Young Star vs Never Give Up Academy is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.