Olympic Star vs Panthere Noir: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Muyinga
The Footlab model makes Olympic Star the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Panthere Noir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Star vs Panthere Noir?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Olympic Star (1,513) and Panthere Noir (1,425).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Star have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Panthere Noir have 0, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aigle Noir(away) | 1-3 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 4-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vital'O(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Star score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Panthere Noir score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Star | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Panthere Noir | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympic Star sit 15th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Panthere Noir sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Panthere Noir | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Olympic Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Star vs Panthere Noir?
- The Footlab model makes Olympic Star the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Panthere Noir.
- Where and when is Olympic Star vs Panthere Noir played?
- Olympic Star vs Panthere Noir is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.