Inter Star vs Musongati: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Intwari, Bujumbura
The Footlab AI model makes Musongati the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Inter Star. The most likely score is 1-1. If Musongati wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Star vs Musongati?
Musongati starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,629 vs 1,424).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter Star vs Musongati
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter Star
Not enough data to predict the Inter Star lineup.
Musongati
4-3-3- 14E. Nibibona
- 20S. Ndizeye
- 10S. Halidi
- 6A. Mugisha
- 4A. Ntahobari
- 7A. Musore
- 3E. Nimubona
- 2M. Muryango
- 13I. Nsabimana
- 9J. Othieno
- 1L. Sakubu
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Star have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Musongati have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ngozi City(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Muzinga(home) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bumamuru(away) | 0-2 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Inter Star wins, 0 draws, 6 Musongati wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Musongati 1-0 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Inter Star 1-3 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Musongati 2-1 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Inter Star 1-2 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Musongati 2-1 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Inter Star 0-3 Musongati | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Musongati vs Inter Star on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Star score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Musongati score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Star | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Musongati | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Star sit 14th in Ligue A (2 points from 4 matches) and Musongati sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Musongati | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Inter Star | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
A question about Inter Star vs Musongati?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Star vs Musongati?
- The Footlab AI model makes Musongati the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Inter Star.
- Where and when is Inter Star vs Musongati played?
- Inter Star vs Musongati is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Intwari, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.