Match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Bytom Odrzański: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Zaglebie SosnowiecOdra Bytom Odrzański

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and Odra Bytom Odrzański (1,682).

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win48 %
Draw24 %
Odra Bytom Odrzański win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carina Gubin(away)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026Tychy 71(away)0-1Cup
Odra Bytom Odrzański
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Miedź Legnica II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Kluczbork(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Rakow II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.21.556/158/15
Odra Bytom Odrzański1.31.157/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Odra Bytom Odrzański54016112
3Zaglebie Sosnowiec531110510

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Bytom Odrzański played?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Bytom Odrzański is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Odra Bytom Odrzański

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