Match

Carina Gubin vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin

Carina GubinStal Brzeg

The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carina Gubin vs Stal Brzeg?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,717) and Stal Brzeg (1,629).

Carina Gubin win43 %
Draw25 %
Stal Brzeg win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carina Gubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Stal Brzeg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rakow II(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Nysa(away)2-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Sparta Katowice(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)5-1III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Carina Gubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stal Brzeg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 23, 2024Carina Gubin 3-0 Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 3, 2024Stal Brzeg 1-2 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
May 20, 2023Carina Gubin 1-1 Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 14, 2022Stal Brzeg 0-2 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2022Stal Brzeg 3-0 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 9, 2021Carina Gubin 1-0 Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Stal Brzeg on Nov 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carina Gubin1.41.7111/1510/15
Stal Brzeg1.51.347/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Stal Brzeg52211268
15Carina Gubin51134124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Stal Brzeg?
The Footlab model makes Carina Gubin the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stal Brzeg.
Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Stal Brzeg played?
Carina Gubin vs Stal Brzeg is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Carina Gubin and Stal Brzeg

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