Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Katowice wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,629).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Warta Gorzów
Not enough data to predict the Warta Gorzów lineup.
Sparta Katowice
Not enough data to predict the Sparta Katowice lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 0-6 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Warta Gorzów win, 1 draw, 1 Sparta Katowice win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sparta Katowice 1-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Sparta Katowice 3-4 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Warta Gorzów 0-2 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.8 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Gorzów sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (14 points from 15 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 2nd (33 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sparta Katowice | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 33 |
| 15 | Warta Gorzów | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 14 |
A question about Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Warta Gorzów.
- Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice played?
- Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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