Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice played?

Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Warta Gorzów

Sparta Katowice

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sparta Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Sparta Katowice (1,832).

Warta Gorzów win37 %

Draw27 %

Sparta Katowice win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Barycz Sułów(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Carina Gubin(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3

Sparta Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Stilon Gorzów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Warta Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sparta Katowice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 29, 2025	Sparta Katowice 3-4 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2025	Warta Gorzów 0-2 Sparta Katowice	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Warta Gorzów	0.9	1.4	6	7/15	7/15
Sparta Katowice	1.9	0.9	6	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Sparta Katowice	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
10	Warta Gorzów	5	2	2	1	6	8	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice?: The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sparta Katowice.
Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice played?: Warta Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.