Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, Bytom Odrzański
The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Odra Bytom Odrzański (1,682) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st in III Liga - Group 3 (12 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
- The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
- Where and when is Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
- Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 3, 2026Stal BrzegvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 3, 2026Stilon GorzówvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 3, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 3, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 3, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsROW Rybnik
- Oct 3, 2026Sparta KatowicevsWarta Gorzów
- Oct 3, 2026SłowianinvsKluczbork