Match

Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, Bytom Odrzański

Odra Bytom OdrzańskiZaglebie Sosnowiec

The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Odra Bytom Odrzański (1,682) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710).

Odra Bytom Odrzański win43 %
Draw25 %
Zaglebie Sosnowiec win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Odra Bytom Odrzański
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Miedź Legnica II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Kluczbork(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Rakow II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carina Gubin(away)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026Tychy 71(away)0-1Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Odra Bytom Odrzański1.31.157/157/15
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.21.556/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st in III Liga - Group 3 (12 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Odra Bytom Odrzański54016112
3Zaglebie Sosnowiec531110510

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
Where and when is Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Odra Bytom Odrzański and Zaglebie Sosnowiec

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