Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg
The Footlab AI model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stal Brzeg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,573 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Stal Brzeg (1,558) and Warta Gorzów (1,635).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stal Brzeg
Not enough data to predict the Stal Brzeg lineup.
Warta Gorzów
Not enough data to predict the Warta Gorzów lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 01:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stal Brzeg wins, 1 draw, 3 Warta Gorzów wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 1-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Warta Gorzów 2-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Stal Brzeg 1-3 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Stal Brzeg 2-0 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Warta Gorzów 1-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Stal Brzeg 2-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Brzeg score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Brzeg sit 12th in III Liga - Group 3 (15 points from 14 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 14th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Stal Brzeg | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 14 | Warta Gorzów | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Warta Gorzów.
- Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów played?
- Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 3, 2027Stilon GorzówvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Apr 3, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsROW Rybnik
- Apr 3, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsBarycz Sułów
- Apr 3, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsKluczbork
- Apr 3, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsMiedź Legnica II
- Apr 3, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsCarina Gubin
- Apr 3, 2027Sparta KatowicevsSłowianin