Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów played?

Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg

Stal Brzeg

Warta Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów?

Warta Gorzów starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,629).

Stal Brzeg win43 %

Draw26 %

Warta Gorzów win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Brzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rakow II(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	5-1	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

Warta Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Barycz Sułów(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Carina Gubin(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Brzeg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Warta Gorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2025	Warta Gorzów 2-1 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 24, 2024	Stal Brzeg 1-3 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Jun 3, 2023	Stal Brzeg 2-0 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Nov 5, 2022	Warta Gorzów 1-1 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3
Apr 30, 2022	Stal Brzeg 2-1 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 25, 2021	Warta Gorzów 1-2 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Brzeg	1.5	1.3	4	7/15	6/15
Warta Gorzów	0.9	1.4	6	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Brzeg	5	2	2	1	12	6	8
10	Warta Gorzów	5	2	2	1	6	8	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów?: The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warta Gorzów.
Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów played?: Stal Brzeg vs Warta Gorzów is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.