Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, Bytom Odrzański
The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Carina Gubin?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Odra Bytom Odrzański (1,682) and Carina Gubin (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Odra Bytom Odrzański win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Carina Gubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 0-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Carina Gubin 2-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 18, 2024 | Carina Gubin 2-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 0-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Carina Gubin on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st in III Liga - Group 3 (12 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Carina Gubin?
- The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Carina Gubin played?
- Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Carina Gubin is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Apr 3, 2027Stal BrzegvsWarta Gorzów
- Apr 3, 2027Stilon GorzówvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Apr 3, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsROW Rybnik
- Apr 3, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsBarycz Sułów
- Apr 3, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsKluczbork
- Apr 3, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsMiedź Legnica II
- Apr 3, 2027Sparta KatowicevsSłowianin