Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Górnik Polkowice?
Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec 5-0 Górnik Polkowice | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Górnik Polkowice 2-4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Górnik Polkowice on Dec 3, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Górnik Polkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Górnik Polkowice played?
- Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Górnik Polkowice is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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