Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Bouchalky, Žďár nad Sázavou
The Footlab model makes Žďár nad Sázavou the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Humpolec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Žďár nad Sázavou (1,573) and Humpolec (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žďár nad Sázavou have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Humpolec have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FS Třebíč(away) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Brno(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bystrc Kníničky(away) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ráječko(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Kuřim(home) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Žďár nad Sázavou win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Humpolec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Žďár nad Sázavou 1-0 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Humpolec 3-2 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| May 24, 2025 | Humpolec 1-1 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Žďár nad Sázavou 0-0 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Humpolec 3-1 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Žďár nad Sázavou 3-0 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Žďár nad Sázavou score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žďár nad Sázavou | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žďár nad Sázavou sit 3rd in 4. liga - Divizie D (4 points from 2 matches) and Humpolec sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec?
- The Footlab model makes Žďár nad Sázavou the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Humpolec.
- Where and when is Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec played?
- Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bouchalky, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.