Humpolec vs Chotebor: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, Humpolec
The Footlab model makes Humpolec the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Chotebor. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humpolec vs Chotebor?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Humpolec (1,528) and Chotebor (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humpolec have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Chotebor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bystrc Kníničky(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 1-8 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Humpolec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chotebor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Chotebor 2-1 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Humpolec 3-0 Chotebor | 4. liga - Divizie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chotebor score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chotebor | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humpolec sit 10th in 4. liga - Divizie D (2 points from 2 matches) and Chotebor sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humpolec vs Chotebor?
- The Footlab model makes Humpolec the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Chotebor.
- Where and when is Humpolec vs Chotebor played?
- Humpolec vs Chotebor is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.