Havlíčkův Brod vs Žďár nad Sázavou: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Losích, Havlíčkův Brod
The Footlab model makes Havlíčkův Brod the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Žďár nad Sázavou. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havlíčkův Brod vs Žďár nad Sázavou?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Havlíčkův Brod (1,618) and Žďár nad Sázavou (1,575).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havlíčkův Brod have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Žďár nad Sázavou have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pelhřimov(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stará Říše(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FS Třebíč(away) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Brno(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bystrc Kníničky(away) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ráječko(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Kuřim(home) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Havlíčkův Brod win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Žďár nad Sázavou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Havlíčkův Brod 0-0 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Žďár nad Sázavou 2-2 Havlíčkův Brod | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Havlíčkův Brod 3-0 Žďár nad Sázavou | Cup |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Žďár nad Sázavou 2-2 Havlíčkův Brod | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Havlíčkův Brod 2-4 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Žďár nad Sázavou 2-1 Havlíčkův Brod | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Havlíčkův Brod vs Žďár nad Sázavou on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havlíčkův Brod score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Žďár nad Sázavou score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havlíčkův Brod | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Žďár nad Sázavou | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havlíčkův Brod sit 7th in 4. liga - Divizie D (3 points from 2 matches) and Žďár nad Sázavou sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Havlíčkův Brod | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Havlíčkův Brod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havlíčkův Brod vs Žďár nad Sázavou?
- The Footlab model makes Havlíčkův Brod the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Žďár nad Sázavou.
- Where and when is Havlíčkův Brod vs Žďár nad Sázavou played?
- Havlíčkův Brod vs Žďár nad Sázavou is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Losích, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.