Zenit Penza vs Orel: result 0-1 and analysis
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 5Kick-off on May 5, 2024 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Pervomayskiy, Penza
Full time
What was the result of Zenit Penza vs Orel?
Orel won 0-1 on May 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 36′M. TarasovOrel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit Penza have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Orel have 1, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Salyut-Belgorod(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ryazan(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Kolomna(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Kaluga(home) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | FK Spartak Tambov(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kompozit(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Khimki II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Dinamo Vladivostok(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit Penza score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orel score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit Penza | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Orel | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit Penza sit 13th in Second League - Group 3 (17 points from 19 matches) and Orel sit 11th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Orel | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 23 |
| 13 | Zenit Penza | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 38 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy