Zenit vs Spartak Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gazprom Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Spartak Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zenit wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?
Zenit starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,192 vs 2,092).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zenit vs Spartak Moscow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zenit
4-2-3-1- 7A. Sobolev
- 5W. Barrios
- 93A. Karpukas
- 11Luiz Henrique
- 10M. Glushenkov
- 14Jhon Jhon
- 33Nino
- 31Gustavo Mantuan
- 3Douglas Santos
- 25K. Andrade
- 57B. Moskvichev
Spartak Moscow
4-1-4-1- 9M. Ugalde
- 18N. Umyarov
- 7P. Solari
- 5E. Barco
- 68R. Litvinov
- 10Marquinhos
- 47R. Zobnin
- 6S. Babić
- 3C. Wooh
- 27I. Dmitriev
- 98A. Maksimenko
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Spartak Moscow have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zenit win, 3 draws, 2 Spartak Moscow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2-0 Zenit | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zenit 1-1 Spartak Moscow | Super Cup |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Zenit 0-0 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Zenit 2-0 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 2-2 Zenit | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 2-1 Zenit | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Moscow vs Zenit on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Moscow score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit sit 1st in Premier League (30 points from 13 matches) and Spartak Moscow sit 4th (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 26 |
A question about Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Spartak Moscow.
- Where and when is Zenit vs Spartak Moscow played?
- Zenit vs Spartak Moscow is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gazprom Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.