Zenit vs Spartak Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gazprom Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Zenit the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Spartak Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Zenit (2,183) and Spartak Moscow (2,100).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Spartak Moscow have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zenit win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Spartak Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2-0 Zenit | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zenit 1-1 Spartak Moscow | Super Cup |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Zenit 0-0 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Zenit 2-0 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 2-2 Zenit | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 2-1 Zenit | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Moscow vs Zenit on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Moscow score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit sit 4th in Premier League (9 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Moscow sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Zenit | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Zenit the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Spartak Moscow.
- Where and when is Zenit vs Spartak Moscow played?
- Zenit vs Spartak Moscow is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gazprom Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.