Rubin vs CSKA Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Rubin. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Moscow wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin vs CSKA Moscow?
CSKA Moscow starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,997 vs 1,880).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rubin vs CSKA Moscow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rubin
5-4-1- 43J. Siwe
- 22V. Hodža
- 6U. Iwu
- 10E. Salcedo
- 7U. Babaev
- 13J. Urozov
- 51I. Rozhkov
- 12A. Arroyo
- 5I. Vujačić
- 98N. Lobov
- 38E. Staver
CSKA Moscow
5-3-2- 32L. Gondou
- 17K. Glebov
- 10I. Oblyakov
- 31M. Kislyak
- 19I. Oleynikov
- 4João Victor
- 21M. Azzi
- 23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
- 3D. Krugovoy
- 79M. Zea
- 49V. Torop
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rubin wins, 4 draws, 2 CSKA Moscow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 1-1 Rubin | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rubin 0-0 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 5-1 Rubin | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 2-2 Rubin | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 3-0 Rubin | Cup |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Rubin 0-0 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 6/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin sit 10th in Premier League (12 points from 11 matches) and CSKA Moscow sit 4th (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Rubin vs CSKA Moscow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin vs CSKA Moscow?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Rubin.
- Where and when is Rubin vs CSKA Moscow played?
- Rubin vs CSKA Moscow is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.