Zidgrad Idrija vs Izola: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 25Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Izola the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Zidgrad Idrija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zidgrad Idrija vs Izola?
Izola starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,369).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zidgrad Idrija have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Izola have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrc(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Adria(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Litija(home) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zidgrad Idrija win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Izola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-3 Izola | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Izola 2-1 Zidgrad Idrija | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Zidgrad Idrija vs Izola on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zidgrad Idrija score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Izola score 2.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zidgrad Idrija | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Izola | 2.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zidgrad Idrija sit 2nd in 3. SNL - West (6 points from 2 matches) and Izola sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Zidgrad Idrija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zidgrad Idrija vs Izola?
- The Footlab model makes Izola the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Zidgrad Idrija.
- Where and when is Zidgrad Idrija vs Izola played?
- Zidgrad Idrija vs Izola is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.