Šobec Lesce vs Žiri: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 25Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Na Žagi, Lesce
The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Žiri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šobec Lesce vs Žiri?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Šobec Lesce (1,388) and Žiri (1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šobec Lesce have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Žiri have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(home) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Izola(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Adria(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Tolmin(home) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Šobec Lesce win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Žiri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Šobec Lesce 2-1 Žiri | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Žiri 1-1 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Žiri 2-1 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Žiri 1-0 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Šobec Lesce score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Žiri score 1.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šobec Lesce | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Žiri | 1.2 | 2.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šobec Lesce sit 9th in 3. SNL - West (2 points from 2 matches) and Žiri sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Žiri | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Šobec Lesce | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šobec Lesce vs Žiri?
- The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Žiri.
- Where and when is Šobec Lesce vs Žiri played?
- Šobec Lesce vs Žiri is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Na Žagi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.