Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
The Footlab model makes Zimbru the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sheriff Tiraspol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Zimbru (1,689) and Sheriff Tiraspol (1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zimbru have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sheriff Tiraspol have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSF Bălți(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Milsami Orhei(home) | 4-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrocub(home) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dacia-Buiucani(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Politehnica UTM(home) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dacia-Buiucani(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zimbru win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sheriff Tiraspol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0 Zimbru | Cupa |
| May 10, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Zimbru | Super Liga |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zimbru 2-2 Sheriff Tiraspol | Super Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sheriff Tiraspol 0-1 Zimbru | Super Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Zimbru 2-0 Sheriff Tiraspol | Super Liga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Sheriff Tiraspol 2-3 Zimbru | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zimbru score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sheriff Tiraspol score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbru | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 1.5 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zimbru sit 2nd in Super Liga (17 points from 9 matches) and Sheriff Tiraspol sit 1st (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Zimbru | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
- The Footlab model makes Zimbru the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sheriff Tiraspol.
- Where and when is Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol played?
- Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Zimbru, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.