Zlin vs Pardubice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Letná, Zlín
The Footlab model makes Pardubice the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Zlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zlin vs Pardubice?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Zlin (1,808) and Pardubice (1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zlin have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Pardubice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 2-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zlin win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pardubice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pardubice 3-1 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Zlin 2-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Pardubice 2-0 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Zlin 1-1 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Pardubice 0-1 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Pardubice 1-2 Zlin | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Zlin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zlin sit 16th in Czech Liga (0 points from 5 matches) and Pardubice sit 13th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 16 | Zlin | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zlin vs Pardubice?
- The Footlab model makes Pardubice the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Zlin.
- Where and when is Zlin vs Pardubice played?
- Zlin vs Pardubice is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Letná, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.