Plzen vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Plzen (2,054) and FK Jablonec (2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Plzen win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Plzen 5-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | FK Jablonec 3-3 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Plzen 1-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Plzen 4-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Plzen 3-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | FK Jablonec 0-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 12th in Czech Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 6th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for FK Jablonec.
- Where and when is Plzen vs FK Jablonec played?
- Plzen vs FK Jablonec is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.