Match

FC St. Pauli vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. PauliDynamo Dresden

The Footlab AI model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC St. Pauli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Dynamo Dresden?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,988) and Dynamo Dresden (1,993).

44%26%30%
FC St. Pauli winDrawDynamo Dresden win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC St. Pauli vs Dynamo Dresden

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC St. Pauli

4-1-3-2
  1. 7Y. Niang
  2. 9Abdoulie Ceesay
  1. 20M. Rasmussen
  2. 16J. Fujita
  3. 8E. Smith
  4. 24C. Metcalfe
  1. 4D. Nemeth
  2. 11A. Pyrka
  3. 23L. Oppie
  4. 21L. Ritzka
  1. 1B. Voll

Dynamo Dresden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9V. Vermeij
  1. 18R. Wagner
  2. 20B. Bobzien
  3. 27N. Hauptmann
  4. 24P. Čović
  5. 21T. Raschl
  1. 6N. Rapp
  2. 32J. Sterner
  3. 44S. Straudi
  4. 42F. Muller
  1. 22L. Grill

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Teplice(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC St. Pauli wins, 3 draws, 1 Dynamo Dresden win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 12, 2022Dynamo Dresden 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2021Dynamo Dresden 2-3 FC St. PauliDFB Pokal
Oct 3, 2021FC St. Pauli 3-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Feb 14, 2020FC St. Pauli 0-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2019Dynamo Dresden 3-3 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
May 3, 2019Dynamo Dresden 2-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs FC St. Pauli on Mar 12, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli1.61.5212/159/15
Dynamo Dresden2.91.458/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (10 points from 7 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7FC St. Pauli724110810
16Dynamo Dresden71249155

A question about FC St. Pauli vs Dynamo Dresden?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Dynamo Dresden?
The Footlab AI model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dynamo Dresden.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Dynamo Dresden played?
FC St. Pauli vs Dynamo Dresden is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC St. Pauli and Dynamo Dresden

Ready to know everything about football?