Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,982) and Karlsruher SC (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Holstein Kiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karlsruher SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 3-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Holstein Kiel 3-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Holstein Kiel 1-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Karlsruher SC 0-2 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 13, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 2-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Karlsruher SC 1-4 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC?
- The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC played?
- Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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