Match

Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielKarlsruher SC

The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,982) and Karlsruher SC (1,959).

Holstein Kiel win49 %
Draw24 %
Karlsruher SC win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TSV 1860 München(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Karlsruher SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Preußen Münster(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Inter(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Holstein Kiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karlsruher SC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Karlsruher SC 3-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2025Holstein Kiel 3-0 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
Mar 9, 2024Holstein Kiel 1-0 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2023Karlsruher SC 0-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
May 13, 2023Holstein Kiel 2-1 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2022Karlsruher SC 1-4 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.71.5410/1512/15
Karlsruher SC1.31.9110/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Karlsruher SC2110214
12Holstein Kiel2020442

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC?
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Karlsruher SC.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC played?
Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holstein Kiel and Karlsruher SC

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