SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
1. FC Kaiserslautern starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,998 vs 1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | DFB Pokal |
| Sep 14, 2025 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-3 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-4 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
- Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern played?
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Hertha BSCvsHannover 96
- Apr 24, 2027VfL Bochumvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Apr 24, 20271. FC MagdeburgvsVfL Wolfsburg
- Apr 24, 20271. FC HeidenheimvsFC St. Pauli
- Apr 24, 2027Dynamo DresdenvsArminia Bielefeld
- Apr 24, 2027Holstein KielvsKarlsruher SC
- Apr 24, 2027Eintracht BraunschweigvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Apr 24, 2027VfL OsnabrückvsEnergie Cottbus