Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Kaiserslautern

The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?

1. FC Kaiserslautern starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,998 vs 1,879).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win41 %
Draw26 %
1. FC Kaiserslautern win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-42. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026FC Zurich(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Eintracht Bamberg(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Kaiserslautern
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Metz(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Sudtirol(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Oct 29, 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC KaiserslauternDFB Pokal
Sep 14, 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-3 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-4 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 20241. FC Kaiserslautern 2-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Apr 12, 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.31.739/159/15
1. FC Kaiserslautern1.11.183/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
141. FC Kaiserslautern2020002
16SpVgg Greuther Fürth2011351

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern played?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Kaiserslautern

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