Match

1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg

1. FC MagdeburgVfL Osnabrück

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for VfL Osnabrück. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Osnabrück?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,984) and VfL Osnabrück (2,010).

1. FC Magdeburg win41 %
Draw26 %
VfL Osnabrück win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; VfL Osnabrück have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Magdeburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bahlinger SC(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)1-62. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026West Ham(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Schöningen(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
VfL Osnabrück
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Spelle-Venhaus(away)5-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)3-42. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Nordhorn(away)7-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 VfL Osnabrück win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück 0-3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2024VfL Osnabrück 3-4 1. FC MagdeburgFriendlies Clubs
Apr 28, 20241. FC Magdeburg 1-1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Nov 25, 2023VfL Osnabrück 0-2 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
May 14, 2022VfL Osnabrück 1-5 1. FC Magdeburg3. Liga
Dec 11, 20211. FC Magdeburg 2-1 VfL Osnabrück3. Liga

Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Magdeburg2.31.258/159/15
VfL Osnabrück2.21.647/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Osnabrück sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
101. FC Magdeburg2101463
18VfL Osnabrück2002370

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for VfL Osnabrück.
Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Osnabrück played?
1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Osnabrück is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Magdeburg and VfL Osnabrück

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