SV Darmstadt 98 vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt
The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs Dynamo Dresden?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate SV Darmstadt 98 (2,007) and Dynamo Dresden (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Darmstadt 98 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Dynamo Dresden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 1-0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2025 | SV Darmstadt 98 2-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Dynamo Dresden 2-3 SV Darmstadt 98 | DFB Pokal |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 19, 2021 | SV Darmstadt 98 1-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98 on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Dynamo Dresden?
- The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Dynamo Dresden.
- Where and when is SV Darmstadt 98 vs Dynamo Dresden played?
- SV Darmstadt 98 vs Dynamo Dresden is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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