Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,980) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,016).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 3-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Energie Cottbus win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 Energie Cottbus | 3. Liga |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Energie Cottbus 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld | 3. Liga |
| Apr 4, 2015 | Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus | 3. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Energie Cottbus 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 3. Liga |
| Mar 23, 2014 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld?
- The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Arminia Bielefeld.
- Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
- Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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