Match

Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus

Energie CottbusArminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,980) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,016).

Energie Cottbus win41 %
Draw26 %
Arminia Bielefeld win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Energie Cottbus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Augsburg(home)0-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Hannover 96(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Bologna(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Energie Cottbus win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
Jan 18, 2025Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
Aug 4, 2024Energie Cottbus 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga
Apr 4, 2015Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
Sep 28, 2014Energie Cottbus 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga
Mar 23, 2014Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Energie Cottbus1.81.639/1510/15
Arminia Bielefeld2.61.4311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Arminia Bielefeld2101423
8Energie Cottbus2101343

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Energie Cottbus and Arminia Bielefeld

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