Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?

1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

1. FC Nürnberg starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,877).

1. FC Nürnberg win58 %

Draw22 %

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Nürnberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Viktoria Köln(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	4-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Oviedo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Palermo(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-4 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
May 3, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2025	1. FC Nürnberg 2-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Mar 16, 2025	1. FC Nürnberg 3-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Oct 20, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-4 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Feb 25, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Nürnberg	2.7	1.2	4	10/15	10/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?: 1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on January 30, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.