1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg 1-0 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1. FC Magdeburg 3-0 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1. FC Magdeburg 3-4 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-4 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | 1. FC Nürnberg 1-0 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
- Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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