Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL WolfsburgSpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,028 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

VfL Wolfsburg starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,883).

64%21%15%
VfL Wolfsburg winDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfL Wolfsburg

4-3-3
  1. 17A. Bernhardsson
  2. 11F. Reese
  3. 19R. Glatzel
  1. 5Vinicius Souza
  2. 20M. Damar
  3. 27M. Arnold
  1. 21J. Mæhle
  2. 6H. Wahl
  3. 33Cleiton
  4. 26S. Kumbedi
  1. 1T. Wellenreuther

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4-2-3-1
  1. 42O. Sillah
  1. 13P. Will
  2. 30F. Klaus
  3. 10Ole Pohlmann
  4. 6S. Bansé
  5. 8S. Appelkamp
  1. 22J. Heuer
  2. 34Hendry Aron Blank
  3. 27G. Itter
  4. 23J. Dehm
  1. 1Florian Hellstern

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Oct 31, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026SC Freiburg(away)2-3DFB Pokal
Oct 23, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-12. Bundesliga
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 VfL Wolfsburg wins, 1 draw, 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2022VfL Wolfsburg 4-1 SpVgg Greuther FürthBundesliga
Sep 11, 2021SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Feb 9, 2013SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Sep 22, 2012VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 SpVgg Greuther FürthBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Feb 6, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg2.51.6311/1510/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.22.129/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 5th in 2. Bundesliga (19 points from 11 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5VfL Wolfsburg11542261619
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth11335131912

A question about VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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