Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?

VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

VfL Wolfsburg starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,876).

VfL Wolfsburg win58 %

Draw23 %

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Altglienicke(away)	3-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 6, 2022	VfL Wolfsburg 4-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2021	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Feb 9, 2013	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Sep 22, 2012	VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Feb 6, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.1	5	8/15	8/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?: VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.