Energie Cottbus vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Energie Cottbus vs Dynamo Dresden?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,982) and Dynamo Dresden (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 3-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Energie Cottbus win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Energie Cottbus | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Dynamo Dresden 3-0 Energie Cottbus | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Energie Cottbus 1-1 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Dynamo Dresden 4-2 Energie Cottbus | 3. Liga |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Energie Cottbus 0-2 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Energie Cottbus | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs Dynamo Dresden?
- The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Dynamo Dresden.
- Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs Dynamo Dresden played?
- Energie Cottbus vs Dynamo Dresden is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027VfL WolfsburgvsSpVgg Greuther Fürth
- May 8, 2027Hannover 96vsHolstein Kiel
- May 8, 20271. FC Nürnbergvs1. FC Magdeburg
- May 8, 20271. FC HeidenheimvsVfL Bochum
- May 8, 2027SV Darmstadt 98vsHertha BSC
- May 8, 2027FC St. PaulivsVfL Osnabrück
- May 8, 20271. FC KaiserslauternvsArminia Bielefeld
- May 8, 2027Karlsruher SCvsEintracht Braunschweig