Match

Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Heinz von Heiden-Arena, Hannover

Hannover 96Holstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Hannover 96 (2,078) and Holstein Kiel (1,984).

Hannover 96 win59 %
Draw22 %
Holstein Kiel win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hannover 96
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemelingen(away)9-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)1-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026PEC Zwolle(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Phönix Lübeck(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TSV 1860 München(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hannover 96 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Hannover 96 3-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2025Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
May 19, 2024Hannover 96 1-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2024Hannover 96 3-2 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
Dec 16, 2023Holstein Kiel 3-0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Jul 7, 2023Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 96Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hannover 962.71.159/158/15
Holstein Kiel1.71.5410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hannover 96 sit 17th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Holstein Kiel2020442
17Hannover 962002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel played?
Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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