Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Heinz von Heiden-Arena, Hannover
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Hannover 96 (2,078) and Holstein Kiel (1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 9-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hannover 96 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Hannover 96 3-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 19, 2024 | Hannover 96 1-2 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Hannover 96 3-2 Holstein Kiel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 3-0 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 96 | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Holstein Kiel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hannover 96 sit 17th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel?
- The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Holstein Kiel.
- Where and when is Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel played?
- Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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